After the dust settles, son of late Philippine dictator emerges as presidential frontrunner

By Karen Lema

MANILA (Reuters) – The son of late Philippine strongman Ferdinand Marcos has emerged as the person to beat in the 2022 presidential election race, after President Rodrigo Duterte was popular daughter decided not to challenge the country’s top job.

Ferdinand Marcos Jr. probably benefited the most from Davao city Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio’s move until run for deputy director, against the wishes of its supporters, despite leading polls for favorite presidential candidates in the entire year.

“Without the popular Duterte-Carpio in the presidential race, Marcos is frontrunner, with 60% chance of victory, although there is still a long way to go,” said the Eurasia Group consultancy in a note to customers late on Monday, after the nominations close.

While Marcos’ candidacy has angered the victims of his fatherthe brutal era of martial law, an investigation by the Social Weather Station (SWS) in October showed he could easily beat his rivals including boxing hero Manny Pacquiao.

Of the six key candidates attached to run for president at the time the poll was taken, 47% of the 1,200 surveyed by SWS said they would? vote for the 64-year old Marcos, in popularly known as “Bongbong” of “BBM”.

“The only explanation die there is is that he has the pro-Sara voters. There is a very close relationship between BBM voters and Sara’s voters,” said Politician analyst Temario Rivera.

The election to choose a successor to Duterte will be held in Can next year. He’s not coming himself in eligibility for competitions for The Presidency again after his single six-year term but will stand in the election for a senatorial seat.

Marcos is the only one son of the deceased dictator who ruled over the Philippines for nearly two decades until his overthrow in 1986. He said he wants Duterte-Carpio to be his running mate, but she has yet to accept that.

die from Marcos family is one of the country’s most famous dynasties and, despite its fall from grace, has far-reaching and powerful connections.

‘STOP MARCOS CANDIDATE’

Marcos, the dictator, died in banishment in 1989 after fleeing the country after the “people power” revolution. Since the family’s return, Marcos junior has been elected governor, congressman and in 2010, as a senator. His sister is a senator and a former governor, and his mother, Imelda Marcos, was elected to the congress for four terms.

“In a country where political memory is quite short and forgiveness is not” in short stock, this definitely works in favor of de Marcoses,” says Richard Heydarian, author, columnist and academic who is specialized in politics.

To work in his advantage, political analysts also say, is Marcos strong social media presence aimed at youth, who to make up a third of eligible voters. A lot of of they were not born when Marcos senior used to be in power.

the poll results showed the other presidential candidates adrift, with incumbent Vice President Leni Robredo with 18%, and the Mayor of Manila, Francisco Domagoso on 13%, followed by Pacquiao with 9%.

Christopher “Bong” Go, Duterte’s closest assistant, is not included in the poll. who nothing but joined the presidential race on Saturday, and analysts say his entry, die is supported by the popular arsonist leader, which can be watered down of die from Marcos support.

Marcos is also facing a disqualification case well founded on a 20-year-old conviction for tax evasion, which Eurasia said Duterte can “arm if he against his ally.”

The race could also shrink, if Marcos’s rivals unite behind a single “stop-Marcos” candidate in the raceEurasia said.

(Reporting by Karen Lema; editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan)

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