No. 9 Alabama (10-2) meets No. 17 Michigan (9-3) meets at Vrbo One Citrus Bowl on January 1. Play time is set to 1pm. ET at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, FL The game will be broadcast nationally on ABC.
Alabama is not in a main cup for the first time since 2010 with coach Nick Saban. The Crimson Tide will also be without star general Tua Tagovailoa, but backup quarterback Mac Jones will have most of the upcoming first round championships – including Jerry Jeudy. Alabama finished second in the FBS with 48.3 points per game this season.
MORE: Get the latest NCAA odds and bet tips on Sports Insider
Michigan is trying to win 10 games for the fourth time in five seasons under five-year coach Jim Harbaugh. The Wolverines are 1-3 bowl games under Harbaugh and this includes two losses to SEC schools. Shea Patterson has a talented set of receivers to throw as well. Michigan has a complete list for this bowl game, too.
It’s a classic SEC vs. Big Ten bowl matchup, and they always have a little extra heat. The coach match between Saban and Harbaugh only adds to that.
See everything to bet on Alabama vs. Michigan, including our updated odds, trends and forecasts for the Citrus Bowl.
Alabama vs. Michigan odds for Citrus Bowl 2020
- Hearsay: Alabama -7
- Total points: 58.5
- Monoyline: Alabama -250, Michigan +210
Alabama is a seven-point favorite according to Sports Insider. The line held where it led to the kickoff.
Alabama vs Michigan of all time
The teams have split into four meetings, three of which occurred in bowl matchups. Tom Brady led the Wolverines to a 35-34 overtime victory at the Orange Bowl on January 1, 2000. Alabama won its last meeting 41-14 at the opener of the 2012 season at Jerry World.
Three trends we need to know
– The Crimson Tide were favored in every game this season and went 6-6 against the spread. He was 0-2 against the spread and 0-2 straight in the two games where he was favored by 10 points or less.
– Alabama is 11-5 straight up and 8-8 against the postseason playoff spread by Saban since 2007.
– The blow to Harbaugh remains the same: The Wolverines have been 0-9 straight as an underdog since taking over in 2015. The Wolverines are 3-6 against the spread in this situation.
MORE: Soccer football collects, forecasts
Three things to look out for
The Wolverines could not manage the state of Ohio at the perimeter at the end of the regular season. Justin Fields passed for 302 yards, four touchdowns and an average of 12.1 yards per attempt. Jones has an even better receiver team led by Jeudy, who averages 13.5 yards per reception, Henry Ruggs III (18.9), DeVonta Smith (18.5) and Jaylen Waddle (17.3). ). If Michigan’s defensive backs aren’t at their best, then it’s going to be a long game.
The current Michigan game
Michigan offensive coordinator Josh Gattis has been an assistant to Alabama this season. It will be interesting to see what wrinkles he puts into the current game, which should be effective for the Wolverines to have a chance. Michigan averaged 3.2 yards per rush or less in its losses to Penn State, Ohio State and Wisconsin this season. If the combination of Zach Charbonnet and Hassan Haskins can succeed against an Alabama defense that allowed it to pass 3.8 yards per carry this season, then the Wolvers could hang on.
What future first-round talents will shine in this game for Alabama? It’s a last chance for some players – even for a few defensive sides – to show. For Michigan, players like Josh Uche – who has signed up for the NFL draft – and a talented receiver team led by Nico Collins and Donovan Peoples-Jones could impress the scouts here. This is the best game except New Year 6 because of the talent on both sides.
MORE: Expert Strategy Tips Three Value Options
Stat that matters
This is a last chance for Shea Patterson to win the big game. Between stops in Ole Miss and Michigan, he has lost 12 starts. He had 15 touchdowns and 17 interceptions in those games, and his completion rate dropped below 60% in 10 of those 12 starts. It should be better than that – like the first half against the state of Ohio – for Michigan to make this a four-quarter game. Remember, Patterson was 4 of 24 in the second half against the Buckeyes.
Alabama vs. Michigan forecast
The last time Alabama was in this situation, their motives were questioned and they won the Michigan 49-7 championship in the Capital One championship with a one-sided blow. Expect Michigan to play loose – but the margin for error is no different than it was in Ohio. Unless Patterson is as close to perfect as possible, the Wolverines won’t have a chance. Najee Harris finally wears the Wolverines’ defense and Alabama leaves in the second half.
Alabama 41, Michigan 24