Is Bitcoin’s Surge Coming to a Halt After Massive Profits?

Bitcoin Market Analysis: Profit-Taking Signals a Potential Breather

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently captured headlines by reaching an all-time high price of $111,800, but a closer look at market dynamics reveals that the bullish momentum may be slowing down. With significant profit-taking from short-term holders and technical indicators pointing towards potential volatility, it’s essential to analyze what this means for investors.

Profit-Taking by Short-Term Holders

In the past 30 days, short-term Bitcoin holders realized an impressive $11.6 billion in profits, according to analysis from Glassnode. This figure demonstrates a substantial shift following a rapid increase in Bitcoin’s price, which surpassed the short-term holder cost-basis threshold of $93,000. Interestingly, the profit-taking peaked at $747 million daily, marking a pronounced change in investor sentiment compared to the $1.2 billion realized in the previous month.

Notably, the STH Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has surged, with profits outpacing losses significantly. In fact, only 8% of trading days have seen this ratio hit higher levels. While profit-taking during bullish markets is common, it often indicates a potential local top, where excessive selling can create resistance against new demand.

Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr highlighted that Bitcoin’s 30-day price momentum has already decreased by 38%, now hovering at 19%. He described this downturn as a “technical cooldown,” suggesting that the market may require a pause before another rally.

Bitcoin entity-adjusted short-term holder. Source: Glassnode

Market Sentiment and Liquidity Concerns

Retail investor sentiment has also taken a hit, reaching a 90-day low, with only 31.59% of retail accounts holding long positions. Conversely, open interest has spiked to a 90-day high, and combined order books sit in the 91st percentile, indicating high liquidity but also potential instability.

In light of this volatility, analysts from Hyblock Capital have advised caution. Their insights suggest that Bitcoin has consistently targeted liquidity zones above current prices, fueling its recent price action.

Recent Price Movements

Following a notable price drop, Bitcoin fell to $108,000 from $111,300 just before the New York trading session opened on May 23. This slip was triggered by US President Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on European Union imports effective June 1, 2025, creating an atmosphere of global market uncertainty. Consequently, there was a $1.2 billion reduction in open interest, indicating that traders are deleveraging their futures exposure.

Despite an initial sell-off, Bitcoin managed to rebound above $109,000, as some traders dismissed the panic. One crypto trader, known as Honey, commented on the situation, suggesting that any corrections could present potential buying opportunities, stating, “As expected, we pumped, and now that the golden cross has happened on BTC, we generally see a market-wide pullback, so I’d be cautious here. Dips are for buying.”

Bitcoin aggregate order book and open interest. Source: Hyblock / X

Conclusion: What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin?

As Bitcoin continues to navigate this tumultuous market landscape, the combination of profit-taking among short-term holders, falling retail sentiment, and heightened liquidity suggests that we might see a pause or local top. The dynamics of current market conditions will be critical for investors, and understanding these fluctuations can help them determine their next steps.

For those interested in the broader implications of Bitcoin’s performance, it’s essential to connect the dots with related content. If you’re looking to dive deeper into Bitcoin’s recent performance amid these changes, check out our coverage on how Bitcoin ETFs are performing after significant inflows or read about the Bitcoin price drop triggered by Trump’s tariff announcements.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risks, and readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before making decisions.

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