The information counts from week 15 to week 16 and the week of the fantasy football league is minimal. We haven’t revealed too many deep sleepers or cable handouts this week. Instead, for the most part, we’re going to use our crash count this week to confirm things we thought we already knew, giving us more confidence in Week 16 start / seat decisions.
This starts at the back of San Francisco, where Rehem Moster checks things in for a third consecutive week. It could once have been a diversion, but twice it started showing a trend, and a third time now confirms that Mostert is the boss of the 49ers RBs. Could Kyle Shanahan change us all again? Sure, but you have to feel pretty good about Mostert at this point.
WEEK 16 RATING NO PRESENCE:
Quarterback | Running back Wide receiver Tight end D / ST | Kicker
The same is true of Adrian Peterson in Washington. With Derrius Guice (knee) out for the year, we also assumed that the vet would control things. He did it in Week 15, and he leads himself to a better Week 16 matchup looking for another good performance.
If you were worried about Mark Andrews or James Conner’s injuries limiting them, you can be sure to start next week. Both were loaded properly, though Pittsburgh should probably hand the ball over to Conner.
Seminar 16 Degrees PPR: Running Back Wide Receiver | Tight end
The two biggest points of concern for us heading into Week 16 are coming to the Chicago and Denver backfields. The Bears used a lot of Tarik Cohen, including the ground, and that is worrying to point to what would otherwise be a great starting point for David Montgomery against the Chiefs in Week 16. The Broncos are also getting a fantastic matchup with the Lions in Week 16, but Royce Freeman is still raining at Phillip Lindsay’s parade.
With most fantasy owners in the last week of your season, don’t overdo anything here unless we specifically point out that it’s a trend. All you have to do is win this week (and maybe next week in what will surely be a messy week 17) to do all your maneuvering with one final win in mind.
Note: Snap counts through the profootball-reference.com program.
For Arizona, we will focus on two unreadable production sites. First, Dan Arnold’s touchdown is unlikely to be repeated – it was only Arizona’s third most-used TE and was on the field for 11-of-61 games. You may also have found Damiere Byrd to attract all six of his goals. And that is unlikely to be repeated, as Byrd played only 21-of-61 snaps, far from the beat of Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald and even behind tight ends Charles Clay and Maxx Williams.
WR snaps (out of 67):Julio Jones (59), Christian Blake (57), Russell Gage (51), Olamide Zaccheaus (5), Justin Hardy (5)
So the theory that Zaccheaus would benefit from Calvin Ridley’s belly injury was wrong. It was Blake and Gage joining Jones on the pitch for most games. Gage scored five of six goals for 27 yards, with Black only aiming only once despite playing time. Matt Ryan’s power pulled July with 20 goals.
The Ravens had another blow and pulled their starter early, making it difficult to read anything too much. Mark Andrews came into the game as a challenger, but had a fairly regular workload, playing 23 of 63. Sometimes he plays more than 50 percent, but is always a smaller number than expected. No need to worry if we don’t go back to injury report week 16.
RB snaps (out of 65):Devin Singletary (46), Frank Gore (19)
I have no idea why the bills are still running so much on Gore (though Sunday night could have been, in part, because of Singletary’s gypsies). The veteran finished with 10 rides for 15 meters. Singletary ran for 87 yards on 21 carries and remains behind to count here, though it is a roll of the dice to start against New England in Week 16.
TE snaps (of 72):Ian Thomas (69), Chris Manhertz (28)
Thomas was not as good in his second start as Greg Olsen, but he still uses the use that makes him a fantasy starter if Olsen loses another week because of concussion.
RB snaps (out of 84):Tarik Cohen (55), David Montgomery (36)
While Cohen probably got more playing time due to the drop in most of the game, he also received eight cards in relation to Montgomery’s 14. This will eat Montgomery’s value under the stretch and is at least a bit related to a favorable matchup Comes Up Against Kansas City. This was the highest first game Cohen has played all season.
John Ross watches
Ross played 38 fouls for the second consecutive week, again falling well behind Tyler Boyd and Alex Erickson in the game. It seems like the deep threat won’t have all the chances to show things before the season is over and even with the dolphins coming in Week 16, you should look elsewhere for WR.
TE snaps (from 70):Dimitrios Haris (45), Ricky Seals-Jones (19), Stephen Carlson (17)
With David Njoku an inert surprise, Harris was expected to lead the game in time. The only problem is that the RSJ made two touchdowns. This will be a situation to be avoided in Week 16, regardless of Njoku’s situation against the Ravens.
RB snaps (out of 70):Ezekiel Elliott (50), Tony Pollard (23)
Elliott and Pollard exceeded 100 meters, with Pollard’s workload increasing with the time of the trash. He also played some touches earlier in the game. It remains a priority for Elliott and if you expect Dallas to win again, Pollard would be an interesting DFS game.
RB snaps (out of 59):Royce Freeman (32), Phillip Lindsay (23), Devontae Booker (5)
Lindsay scored seven times on Freeman’s five, while Freeman scored all four of his goals and Lindsay didn’t fall on his own either. How this has remained such a disappointing backfield committee the whole season is beyond me. The Lions travel to Denver in Week 16 and have been on the ground all season, so you have to play Lindsay. But there is not too much argument as to why you should play Lindsay over Freeman at this point. Blah.
RB snaps (out of 64):Ty Johnson (29), Wes Hills (23), J.D. McKissic (12)
It was Hilson who arrived at 10 and scored two flights on Sunday. Perhaps none of these guys matter in Week 16 if Kerryon Johnson (knee) is actually activated from the injured reserve, but if he doesn’t, Hills could be the first in another week with probably no Bo Scarbrough .
RB snaps (out of 59):Aaron Jones (35), Jamaal Williams (24)
This is still a situation where Jones cannot get away with Williams, but as Jones showed with both of his touchdowns on Sunday, he can still be a very valuable fantasy player. Don’t worry about his 13 bringing troublebecause this was the script basically all year long and Jones has been basically produced all year.
WR snaps (of 63):DeAndre Hopkins (63), Will Fuller V (59), Kenny Stills (39)
Fuller is back, so even though Stills made two touchdowns in the second quarter, he is not worth pursuing while being third in the race here. Fuller remains in the usual role of the WR3 in imagination.
It will be updated after Monday Night Football
WR snaps (of 57):Dede Westbrook (53), Chris Conley (50), Keelan Cole (43), C.J. Board (11)
Westbrook played most, but produced less than Conley (who caught two touchdowns) and Cole (who had a 55-yard catch and finished with 76 yards). If DJ Chark stays out, all three of them are in Game 16 for a weak Falcons secondary, with Conley perhaps the best PPR, Cole the biggest-upside play and Westbrook a mix of the two.
RB snaps (of 68):Spencer Ware (27), Darwin Thompson (24), LeSean McCoy (17)
As much as we’d like to recommend one of them to you, while Damien Williams (ribs) is out, we can’t. Carries split eight with Thompson, seven with Ware and six with McCoy. Avoid this commission, despite the total explosiveness of the offense.
RB snaps (of 62):Austin Ekeler (30), Melvin Gordon (25), Justin Jackson (13)
Jackson probably played that amount more because of the loss of LA’s loss. more than anything else, but it’s worth noting that Gordon lost two memories, something that could bring him closer to a potential dog under strain.
WR snaps (of 73):Robert Woods (73), Cooper Kupp (67), Brandin Cooks (52), Josh Reynolds (26)
While there were large areas of this game where Kupp felt he was not playing, it was. Wiping time helped him finish with a decent 6-41-1 line. The cooks remain frustrated and are clearly third in the dog class at this point.
RB snaps (of 71):Patrick Laird (34), Myles Gaskin (34)
Laird still got the ball more than Gaskin, but both were in double digits for touchdowns. If anything, this makes Laird the biggest question mark for Week 16 against the Bengals. We can’t necessarily trust Gaskin yet, but we probably can’t trust Laird either. Although both would play double-digit touches again, both could turn into useful fantasy days in this favorable matchup.
RB Backups (out of 65):Mike Boone (21), Ameer Abdullah (15)
Dalvin Cook (shoulder) left Sunday’s game and didn’t come back and Alexander Mattison (ankle) was already inactive. That let Boone and Abdullah get the hang of it. Boone has scored 13 times and scored twice, compared to Abdullah’s five. Snaps both suggest Boone would start Monday night in Week 16 if Cook and Mattison are out, but Mattison will likely dominate if he is active and Cook is out.
RB snaps (out of 65):Sony Michel (27), James White (25), Rex Burkhead (20)
Michel played nine shots a week ago, but has brought the ball 19 times this week. New England is frustratingly inconsistent when it comes to playing time and it seems like you can really only count on White to be out there a good amount per week.
It will be updated after Monday Night Football
WR snaps (of 68):Sterling Shepard (54), Darius Slayton (47), Golden Tate (38), Cody Latimer (16), Da’Mari Scott (9), Cody Core
One week after a monster game, Slayton had only three goals (although he saved his day with a touchdown). Tate caught only one of his four goals, but went for a lucky 51-yard score. Shepard led the way with 11 goals, winning nine for 111 yards. It is difficult to predict the distribution of the trilogy week by week, even though they were all performed as fantasy starters at various times.
WR snaps (of 59):Robby Anderson (59), Jamison Crowder (50), Vyncint Smith (37), Jeff Smith (14), Braxton Berrios (5)
After a dip in use from weeks 10-12, Crowder bounced back and played significant snaps in three straight weeks. Production followed week 15 with two touchdown hits. However, Week 16 against the Steelers may not continue.
RB snaps (out of 75):Josh Jacobs (43), Jalen Richard (22), DeAndre Washington (11)
Jacobs has flown between 50 and 75 percent of the shots played all season, so nothing on the surface has changed as long as the rookie has had a shoulder injury. As long as Auckland keeps Jacobs active under the stretch, it seems you can count on his normal output.
WR snaps (of 77):JJ Arcega-Whiteside (71), Greg Ward (58), Robert Davis (16)
Ward was the best receiver in the bunch here despite the smaller game than Arcega-Whiteside, who stretched to seven of nine goals for 61 yards and a score. Arcega-Whiteside have not hit their two goals and while there is probably some positive momentum, if Nelson Agholor (knee) stays out, it doesn’t seem to be much.
RB snaps (out of 59):James Conner (34), Jaylen Samuels (17), Kerrith Whyte (6), Benny Snell (2), Trey Edmunds (1)
While Conner finished with just eight wings, he was certainly the leader behind his return. The Steelers have probably been trying to do a lot of impressive things with their formation-wise back, but if you own Conner, you can feel good about him going as long as his shoulder injury doesn’t come up again.
RB snaps (out of 64):Raheem Mostert (34), Tevin Coleman (19), Matt Breida (12)
It’s the third consecutive week of Mostert dominating any usage index on the back of San Francisco and it’s the only 49ers RB you can use in Week 16 – and it’s a solid RB2 in that.
Clock Tyler Lockett
It probably doesn’t mean anything, but Lockett saw the lowest possible use of the season (53-of-67) outside of the game against the 49ers. It’s still quite a few failures, and a touchdown fell, but it’s the only, even slightly noticeable thing Seattle did Sunday.
WR snaps (of 75):Breshad Perriman (67), Chris Godwin (46), Justin Watson (42), Ishmael Hyman (13), Scotty Miller (11)
Perriman missed a touchdown on Sunday and is in the WR2 area assuming Godwin (hamstring) and Mike Evans (hamstring) stay out of Week 16. Miller (hamstring) is also dinged up and may set Watson to have also a good game the texas on saturday week 16.
RB snaps (out of 67):Derrick Henry (39), Dion Lewis (24)
Two of Henry’s lowest season metrics (along with some early-season catch-up scenarios) have come in the last two weeks, as Tennessee appears to be struggling to manage its workload while dealing with a problematic issue. This should not keep him out of your lineup, but it is probably a sign that he is not fully healthy and should be tied to Lewis where possible.
RB snaps (out of 53):Adrian Peterson (32), Chris Thompson (18), Josh Ferguson (3)
Peterson dominated the back with Derrius Guice (knee) out for the season. A 16-66 line with a touchdown is a solid line for the AP at this stage of his career, and could repeat that week 16 against the Giants.