Kyiv sets the date for the end of the war… and confirms: “We will not negotiate”.

With Ukraine’s insistence on not negotiating with Russia unless its forces withdraw from its territory, no resolution appears to be anywhere near this conflict, now in its ninth month.

Volodymyr Havrilov, Ukraine’s deputy defense minister, announced yesterday evening that his country’s forces could reach the Russian-controlled Crimea peninsula by Christmas (December 25) and end the war by spring.

Major General in pension said that it is possible that Ukrainian forces will intervene in Crimea by the end of the year.

He also did not rule out the possibility of what is known as the “black swan” theory occurring within Russia, i.e. sudden and unpredictable events in the coming months, possibly in a reference to an unexpected political development that could affect the Kremlin.

end of spring

But he said that even without a tale event, the timetable for reaching the Crimea is “possible”.

In response to the question of whether the war could end by February 24 – the first anniversary of the start of the conflict – he said: “Let’s be realistic, I think it will take some time.”

But he added that “he feels that by the end of spring this war will end!”

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“no deal”

For his part, the head of the Ukrainian presidential office, Andriy Yermak, confirmed that Moscow has not officially communicated with his country the possibility of holding talks pacebut stressed that Russian forces must be fully withdrawn before any negotiations can take place. “We have not received any official requests from the Russian side in about the negotiations,” he said in a video talk in English speaker at the Halifax International Security Forum.

He also indicated that any talks that are not based on Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its internationally recognized borders would not be “acceptable”.

“a brief respite”

These statements came a day after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky ruled out the idea of ​​approving a “brief truce” with Russia, saying it would only lead to escalation of things.

He also added during the same conference: “One pace truly real, lasting and sincere can be achieved only through the complete elimination of Russian aggression”.

On Friday, the White House reiterated that Zelensky is the only one who can agree to start negotiations with the Russian side, rejecting the idea of ​​any US pressure on Kiev in this direction.

The adoption of a brief truce with Russia will only make matters worse

Zelensky

Although US Army Chief of Staff General Mark Milley recently indicated twice that Ukraine’s victories on the battlefield could open a window for talks on a political settlement to the conflict, he returned and indicated last Wednesday that it is unlikely in the long term. At least the short term is that Ukrainian forces are in able to militarily expel Russia from all lands it occupies in the country, including Crimea.

Interestingly, with many countries and pundits expecting that this conflict will be prolonged, Washington fears that the resolve of its allies, including European countries, to continue supporting Kiev, financially and militarily, is cooling.

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