Sports March Madness bracket predictions 1.0: Projecting the Field of...

March Madness bracket predictions 1.0: Projecting the Field of 68 for the 2020 NCAA Tournament

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March is a couple of weeks away and the college basketball madness is percolating, folks. I have actually done NCAA Tournament bracket forecasts for Sporting News– we call them the Field of 68– for rather a long period of time now. The length of time? Well, when I began it was the Field of 65 and we were called The SportingNews Yeah. For a while now.

This is our first Field of 68 for the 2019-20 season. I understand, I understand, most other locations have actually been creating click this subject for a couple months now, however I’m leaping back into the fray now, when there’s a good quantity of details to utilize for making informed guesses.

As constantly, I’m doing my forecasts based upon where I think a team must be seeded based upon how its resume compares to other teams this season if the season ended the other day. Due to the fact that we’re still a long method from Choice Sunday, I’m not as interested in places and such; if your team has an 8-seed resume, they’re on the 8-seed line, and it does not matter to me (today) if your team can play on a Sunday or not (BYU spoiler).

MORE: WVU’s lofty seed in bracket preview recommend choice approach requires tweaking

My goal is to offer you a numbers photo for every team, and after that perhaps a note or more on each team. And for this first Field of 68, I’m going to offer you a little insight on what it was like to arrange through this year’s group of tournament-caliber resumes– to figure and attempt out which teams belong, which ones do not and how everything figure out. I have actually been seeing college hoops all season, of course, however there’s a big, big distinction in between simply seeing college hoops and in fact arranging and evaluating 80- something resumes. It was, let’s state, intriguing.

As constantly, automated quotes (in parenthesis) go to the team with the least conference losses. In case of a tie, the quote is provided to the team with the best NET score.

March Madness bracket predictions for 2020 NCAA Tournament

Projected No. 1 seeds

Baylor (Big 12), Gonzaga (WCC), Kansas, San Diego State (MWC)

  • Baylor (23 -1): NET/Pom/KPI: 2/5/2. vs. Q1: 9-0. vs. Q2: 5-1. vs. Q3/4: 9-0
  • Kansas (21 -3): NET/Pom/KPI: 4/1/1. vs. Q1: 10 -3. vs. Q2: 6-0. vs. Q3/4: 5-0
  • Gonzaga (26 -1): NET/Pom/KPI: 3/3/16 vs. Q1: 5-1. vs. Q2: 3-0. vs. Q3/4: 18 -0
  • San Diego State (26 -0): NET/Pom/KPI: 1/4/10 vs. Q1: 4-0. vs. Q2: 5-0. vs. Q3/4: 16 -0

Ideas: These were the leading 4 teams, in this order, when the Choice Committee launched its preview of the Leading 16 teams on Feb. 8. And all 4 have actually not done anything however win ever since. This is simple!

Projected No. 2 seeds

Duke (ACC), Dayton (A10), Maryland (Big 10), Florida State

  • Duke (22 -3): NET/Pom/KPI: 6/2/3. vs. Q1: 5-1. vs. Q2: 5-1. vs. Q3/4: 12 -1
  • Dayton (23 -2): NET/Pom/KPI: 5/6/6. vs. Q1: 3-2. vs. Q2: 6-0. vs. Q3/4: 14 -0
  • Maryland (21 -4): NET/Pom/KPI: 7/8/5. vs. Q1: 7-4. vs. Q2: 5-0. vs. Q3/4: 9-0
  • Florida State (21 -4): NET/Pom/KPI: 15/22/ 8. vs. Q1: 3-3. vs. Q2: 7-1. vs. Q3/4: 11 -0

Ideas: The leading 2 No. 2 seeds from the top 16 seeds expose made their positioning easy; neither Duke nor Dayton has actually lost. the other 2 No. 2 seeds? Yikes. West Virginia, by God, has actually lost 3 in a row at Oklahoma and Baylor and vs. Kansas. Okay losses– however still, 3 in a row. Louisville likewise fell at Georgia Tech and at Clemson, 2 ACC clubs going to pieces around.500 Maryland most likely ought to have been a 2-seed over West Virginia in the expose, so the Terps get the nod. Florida State leaps up too, regardless of the loss at Duke.

Projected No. 3 seeds

Louisville, Villanova, West Virginia, Auburn

  • Louisville (21 -5): NET/Pom/KPI: 9/12/12 vs. Q1: 4-3. vs. Q2: 3-2. vs. Q3/4: 14 -0
  • Villanova (19 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 16/24/ 9. vs. Q1: 6-6. vs. Q2: 6-0. vs. Q3/4: 7-0
  • West Virginia (18 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 10/ 7/14 vs. Q1: 5-6. vs. Q2: 3-1. vs. Q3/4: 10 -0
  • Auburn (22 -3): NET/Pom/KPI: 25/33/ 4. vs. Q1: 5-2. vs. Q2: 8-1. vs. Q3/4: 9-0

Ideas: I’m not offered on Villanova’s resume as a 3-seed as compared to the 3-seeds of most years, however the committee put the Wildcats there and everybody else has actually lost, so they remain. Louisville and West Virginia do not fall far because, well, remember what I simply stated about all the losses? Even Auburn, which had just dropped a set of games all year, caught the top-16 jinx and lost an unexpected game at Missouri, which is under.500 regardless of now owning wins versus 4 most likely at-largeteams Auburn’s loss was without Issac Okoro, so that badness is reduced a bit.

Projected No. 4 seeds

Penn State, Seton Hall (Big East), Oregon, Creighton

  • Penn State (20 -5): NET/Pom/KPI: 17/11/17 vs. Q1: 7-3. vs. Q2: 5-2. vs. Q3/4: 8-0
  • Seton Hall (18 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 14/15/ 7. vs. Q1: 9-6. vs. Q2: 4-1. vs. Q3/4: 5-0
  • Oregon (20 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 22/25/13 vs. Q1: 6-4. vs. Q2: 4-2. vs. Q3/4: 10 -0
  • Creighton (19 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 13/18/11 vs. Q1: 7-6. vs. Q2: 5-0. vs. Q3/4: 7-0

Ideas: Penn State wasn’t one of the teams in the top 16 expose, however all the previously mentioned losing by everybody else– and the Nittany Lions winning a lot of games– is the just method to comprise for their dreadful nonconference strength of schedule numbers. The Big East provides loads of Q1 chances, and winning more than half of those possibilities is why Seton Hall and Creighton are here today.

Projected No. 5 seeds

Butler, Kentucky (SEC), Colorado, Michigan State

  • Butler (19 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 20/27/18 vs. Q1: 8-5. vs. Q2: 5-2. vs. Q3/4: 6-0
  • Michigan State (17 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 12/10/32 vs. Q1: 5-8. vs. Q2: 4-1. vs. Q3/4: 8-0
  • Kentucky (20 -5): NET/Pom/KPI: 24/30/22 vs. Q1: 5-3. vs. Q2: 3-1. vs. Q3/4: 12 -1
  • Colorado (20 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 11/17/15 vs. Q1: 6-3. vs. Q2: 4-3. vs. Q3/4: 10 -0

Ideas: OK, so we’re formally past where the choice committee ranked teams, however there are a couple having a hard time laggers we’ll slot here, Michigan State and Butler. Kentucky has, y’ understand, that home loss to Evansville, however that was a long period of time ago and the Wildcats are atop the SEC. As you can see, the computer systems enjoy Colorado.

Projected No. 6 seeds

Iowa, Arizona (Pac-12), Marquette, Ohio State

  • Iowa (18 -8): NET/Pom/KPI: 28/22/33 vs. Q1: 7-6. vs. Q2: 4-1. vs. Q3/4: 7-1
  • Arizona (18 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 8/13/21 vs. Q1: 3-5. vs. Q2: 4-1. vs. Q3/4: 11 -1
  • Marquette (17 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 19/23/19 vs. Q1: 5-6. vs. Q2: 6-1. vs. Q3/4: 6-0
  • Ohio State (17 -8): NET/Pom/KPI: 18/ 9/25 vs. Q1: 5-6. vs. Q2: 4-2. vs. Q3/4: 8-0

Ideas: We have actually reached the part of this Field of 68 where I put about 15 flawed-but-not-awful resumes in a container and began drawing at random. Boom. OK, not truly. That thing I stated about the Big East and Q1 chances? Yeah, it goes for the Big 10, too, so it’s not unexpected to see one Big East and 2 Big 10 teams here, together with NET preferred Arizona.

Projected No. 7 seeds

Michigan, LSU, Houston (AAC), Texas Tech

  • Michigan (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 26/14/48 vs. Q1: 5-8. vs. Q2: 4-1. vs. Q3/4: 7-0
  • LSU (18 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 29/34/20 vs. Q1: 2-5. vs. Q2: 8-1. vs. Q3/4: 8-1
  • Houston (20 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 27/20/26 vs. Q1: 2-4. vs. Q2: 7-2. vs. Q3/4: 11 -0
  • Texas Tech (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 21/16/51 vs. Q1: 2-8. vs. Q2: 5-1. vs. Q3/4: 9-0

Ideas: Yeah, perhaps this is a bit high for Michigan– however did you see what the Wolverines did to Indiana on Sunday? They had actually that extended rough spot, however they have nonconference wins versus Gonzaga, Creighton and versus North Carolina prior to things went awry for the Heels. Spoiler alert: From here on out, most of the teams you’ll check out beat the teams they must lose and beat to the teams they must lose to, with an aberration or more on either side messing up the resume-sorting. Aargh.

Projected No. 8 seeds

BYU, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Illinois

  • BYU (20 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 23/19/40 vs. Q1: 2-4. vs. Q2: 3-3. vs. Q3/4: 15 -0
  • Wisconsin (15-10): NET/Pom/KPI: 31/28/28 vs. Q1: 7-8. vs. Q2: 1-1. vs. Q3/4: 7-1
  • Illinois (15 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 38/32/55 vs. Q1: 5-7. vs. Q2: 2-1. vs. Q3/4: 8-1
  • Rutgers (17 -8): NET/Pom/KPI: 30/29/44 vs. Q1: 2-6. vs. Q2: 5-1. vs. Q3/4: 10 -1

Ideas: More Big 10teams Stunning, eh? Well, the Rutgers thing is kinda stunning. Who believed the New Jersey team would be incorporated the Big 10 standings with Michigan State– everyone’s preseason No. 1– this late in the season? It has actually been a minute considering that BYU remained in the tournament, however the Cougars look strong in Mark Pope’s first year.

MORE: Big 10 teams dealing with unmatched, unequaled parity in conference play

Projected No. 9 seeds

Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Saint Mary’s, Florida

  • Oklahoma (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 47/35/36 vs. Q1: 2-8. vs. Q2: 7-1. vs. Q3/4: 7-0
  • Rhode Island (19 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 32/43/23 vs. Q1: 1-4. vs. Q2: 5-1. vs. Q3/4: 13 -1
  • Saint Mary’s (20 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 34/36/39 vs. Q1: 3-3. vs. Q2: 3-1. vs. Q3/4: 14 -2
  • Florida (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 35/38/37 vs. Q1: 3-6. vs. Q2: 3-3. vs. Q3/4: 10 -0

Ideas: Does anybody wish to get an at-large area? The 4 teams on this line have a combined 9 Q1 wins in 30 chances and, well, the field needs to be completed, individuals, and OH NO I SIMPLY UNDERSTOOD I’M JUST ON THE NO. 9 SEED LINE.

Projected No. 10 seeds

USC, Xavier, Virginia, Wichita State

  • USC (19 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 49/54/30 vs. Q1: 2-6. vs. Q2: 6-0. vs. Q3/4: 11 -1
  • Xavier (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 39/42/31 vs. Q1: 2-8. vs. Q2: 6-1. vs. Q3/4: 8-0
  • Virginia (17 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 55/52/35 vs. Q1: 3-3. vs. Q2: 4-3. vs. Q3/4: 10 -1
  • Wichita State (19 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 46/37/29 vs. Q1: 2-3. vs. Q2: 6-3. vs. Q3/4: 11 -0

Ideas: Folks, I truthfully do not understand at this moment. I understand most years past tournament success/failure does not count, however this year it appears like perhaps we must simply let Virginia in due to the fact that the Cavaliers are the ruling champs (I kid, I kid). Well, their numbers aren’t as bad as everybody appears to believe. They’re not a top-seven seed, however sufficient to enter this year’s field at the minute. It assists that they have actually won 5 of their past 6.

Projected No. 11 seeds

Northern Iowa (MVC), * Stanford, Indiana, * Arkansas, Arizona State

  • Northern Iowa (20 -4): NET/Pom/KPI: 40/41/43 vs. Q1: 1-1. vs. Q2: 3-1. vs. Q3/4: 18 -2
  • Arizona State (17 -8): NET/Pom/KPI: 50/58/27 vs. Q1: 4-6. vs. Q2: 3-2. vs. Q3/4: 10 -0
  • Indiana (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 63/49/47 vs. Q1: 4-7. vs. Q2: 2-2. vs. Q3/4: 10 -0
  • * Arkansas (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 48/44/48 vs. Q1: 2-5. vs. Q2: 2-4. vs. Q3/4: 12 -0
  • * Stanford (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 37/45/58 vs. Q1: 2-5. vs. Q2: 2-3. vs. Q3/4: 12 -1

Ideas: We’ll put 2 of the First 4 teams here and 2 on the 12- seed line. That’s all I feel great about today.

Projected No. 12 seeds

* Purdue, * Georgetown, ETSU (Southern), Yale (Ivy), Liberty (Atlantic Sun)

* Purdue (14-12): NET/Pom/KPI: 33/26/56 vs. Q1: 3-9. vs. Q2: 4-1. vs. Q3/4: 7-2
* Georgetown (15-10): NET/Pom/KPI: 43/47/34 vs. Q1: 5-9. vs. Q2: 4-1. vs. Q3/4: 6-0

Ideas: I have actually seen Purdue as high as the 9-seed line, however I simply do not get it. They’re hardly.500, AND they have a set of Q3 losses. Oh, and they’re 1-8 far from home in Q1contests Georgetown simply got its best win of the year, at Butler, and this is a great time to get best-win-of-the- year Ws.

MORE: Ranking most engaging conference races in March towards Madness

Projected Nos. 13-16 seeds

Projected No. 13 seeds: North Texas (C-USA), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Akron (MAC), Vermont (America East)
Projected No. 14 seeds: Wright State (Horizon), UC Irvine (Big West), Colgate (Patriot), New Mexico State (WAC)
Projected No. 15 seeds: South Dakota State (Top), Hofstra (Colonial), Murray State (Ohio Valley), Winthrop (Big South)
Projected No. 16 seeds: Montana (Big Sky), Little Rock (Sun Belt), * Siena (MAAC), * Meadow View A&M (SWAC), * Merrimack (Northeast), * Norfolk State (MEAC)

* First 4 teams

On the bubble (alphabetically)

Alabama (14-11): NET/Pom/KPI: 35/47/45 vs. Q1: 2-6. vs. Q2: 4-4. vs. Q3/4: 8-1
Cincinnati (17 -8): NET/Pom/KPI: 48/38/24 vs. Q1: 2-5. vs. Q2: 6-0. vs. Q3/4: 8-3
Connecticut (14-11): NET/Pom/KPI: 73/63/91 vs. Q1: 0-6. vs. Q2: 3-3. vs. Q3/4: 10 -2
Memphis (17 -8): NET/Pom/KPI: 60/68/49 vs. Q1: 1-3. vs. Q2: 5-2. vs. Q3/4: 11 -2
Minnesota (12-12): NET/Pom/KPI: 40/31/52 vs. Q1: 4-9. vs. Q2: 2-2. vs. Q3/4: 6-0
Mississippi State (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 52/48/46 vs. Q1: 2-6. vs. Q2: 3-1. vs. Q3/4: 11 -2
N.C. State (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 61/56/42 vs. Q1: 4-2. vs. Q2: 3-4. vs. Q3/4: 9-2
Richmond (19 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 47/52/41 vs. Q1: 2-4. vs. Q2: 2-1. vs. Q3/4: 15 -1
SMU (18 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 66/75/62 vs. Q1: 2-2. vs. Q2: 2-3. vs. Q3/4: 14 -1
South Carolina (16 -9): NET/Pom/KPI: 64/74/54 vs. Q1: 3-5. vs. Q2: 4-2. vs. Q3/4: 9-2
UNCG (19 -6): NET/Pom/KPI: 64/52/59 vs. Q1: 2-2. vs. Q2: 2-2. vs. Q3/4: 15 -2
Utah State (19 -7): NET/Pom/KPI: 42/39/60 vs. Q1: 2-4. vs. Q2: 2-2. vs. Q3/4: 15 -1
VCU (17 -8): NET/Pom/KPI: 53/53/57 vs. Q1: 1-5. vs. Q2: 1-2. vs. Q3/4: 15 -1

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