The Green Bay Packers (11-3) can finish off the NFC North with a win over the Minnesota Vikings (10-4) on Monday night. Green Bay beat Minnesota earlier this season and has a better division record to have a foot in the division title race, but the Vikings are playing at home 6-0 so far in 2019.
Both teams have already earned a place in the postseason, but we all know how important the postseason is, so Green Bay and Minnesota both feel the pressure tonight.
Here’s everything you need to know about the Vikings vs. Packers bet on Week 16, including our odds, trends and predictions for our “Football Monday Night Specialist”.
MORE: Get the latest NFL odds and betting trends on Sports Insider
Centralized odds against Vikings for ‘Monday Night Football’
- Minnesota Vikings -5 vs. Green Bay Packers, O / U 47
That line remained steady all week after a first move for the Vikings. NFL betting odds initially rank Minnesota as a four-game favorite over Green Bay in this game, but that line quickly increased to Vikings -5 early in the week. There was a similar move with the set as the original over / under in this game was 45.5 before rising to 47.
Packers against all-time Viking
Although Green Bay has more history than its NFC North competitor, the Packers have little historical advantage over the Vikings in this series. The Green Bay are 61-54-3 against Minnesota, and these teams have played some remarkable games Monday night.
In 1998, Randy Moss announced his presence in the world with five catches for 190 yards and two touchdowns for a win for the Vikings, but the Packers took revenge two years later when Antonio Freeman made a ridiculous receiving from a ball that was considered be incomplete to beat Green Bay in overtime. The most anticipated game in this series happened 10 years ago, though, as Brett Favre and Minnesota hosted Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay in the highest rated game in cable television history.
Three trends we need to know
– The Packers are 6-1 ATS against teams with a 2019 winning record.
– The bottom is 7-0 in Green Bay’s last seven games against division opponents.
– Minnesota has been 36-15-1 ATS at home since 2013.
Three things to look out for
Mike Boone has the chance to be a fantasy hero
Minnesota’s top two runs hit the MNF with a header, so Mike Boone could become a fantastic football legend with strong performance. With Dalvin Cook already ruled out due to a chest injury and Alexander Mattison being highly questionable due to an ankle problem, Boone is expected to be the backhorse for the Vikings tonight. Boone carried the ball 13 times for 56 yards and two touchdowns last week against the Chargers and Green Bay allows 4.6 YPC and 120.9 YPG.
Will Kirk Cousins bounce back?
Kirk Cousins had his worst road performance of the season against Green Bay in Week 2. Cousins completed less than 50% of his passes and threw multiple steals for a single year all year in a 21- loss. 16 in the Packers. This performance was exaggerated, given what he has done against the Packers during his career, and Minnesota hopes to see the franchise quarterback recover.
Aaron Jones could become Green Bay’s second 10-yard back in this decade
Green Bay has been having a tough time in football since Aaron Rodgers took over from Brett Favre over a decade ago, but Aaron Jones has a good year in 2019. Jones has run for 830 yards and 14 touchdowns on average. 4.4 YPC to become the supplement that Packers fans have wanted since Eddie Lacy left. He’s generally booming or busty, though with huge appearances against Minnesota, Dallas, Kansas City, Carolina and Washington, and average numbers in his other nine games.
Player to watch
Aaron Rodgers doesn’t publish the numbers you would expect from an 11-3 Packers team. Rodgers has flown more than 250 yards four times throughout the season and has not surpassed that number since Oct. 27 against Kansas City. He averaged just 6.1 YPA against Minnesota earlier this year, throwing for 209 yards and two touchdowns in a win at Green Bay.
Packers vs. Viking prediction
Minnesota has been home-lit this season. Although Cook and Mattison are injured, the Cousins will take advantage of an overpriced Green Bay defense with Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen leading the Vikings to their 11th win of the year.
Vikings 30, Packers 17