This Saturday is the busiest day for college football. The Division II championship game between West Florida and Minnesota and the FCS semifinals will air on the ESPN network family, but the games most people try are the seven bowl games scheduled to take place throughout the day. . This is one of the last days to relax back in your boilerplate and let college football wash over you all day, so here’s a primer for these games.
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North Carolina A & T -2.5 vs. Alcorn State, O / U 51.5
Florida A&M would be representing the MEAC in this game if not for a post-NCAA ban imposed this summer. Instead of seeing the Rattlers in the celebration cup for the first time, we will see the North Carolina A&T Aggies make their fourth trip in five years and face the Alcorn State Braves for the third time.
North Carolina’s A&T has taken its lead with the SWAC champion in the Celebration Cup, winning all three of his previous appearances here. However, the Aggies are the weakest they have been in a while. They no longer have extremely talented athletes like Lamar Raynard or Tarik Cohen and the offensive line is not as strong without Brandon Parker holding the left. The third time should be the charm for Alcorn State under Felix Harper not turning the ball over, making the Braves a nice moneyline game.
New Mexico bowl
San Diego, -3.5 vs. Central Michigan, O / U 40.5
Buyer beware … this game will be hard to watch. The New Mexico Bowie has the lowest total of any game during the bowl season, as the state of San Diego combines the 127th offense in the nation with the 11th best defense of the SP +. Central Michigan is in the top 70 in both phases of the game from SP +, but there is a good reason Chippewas like it here.
Aztecs coach Rocky Long is 4-9 all-time in bowl games during his career. Many of those losses were not against large teams, and the state of San Diego is 3-5 ATS below the long bowl game.
MORE: Collection of all 40 games in 2019-20
Georgia South-4 vs. Liberty, O / U 58.5
Hugh Freeze took Liberty to a bowl game for the first time in school history, but the Flames played the softest time in the country to get to Orlando. Only their win against Buffalo looks good, as their other six wins came against two FCS schools, UMass, New Mexico and the State of New Mexico (twice).
The common wisdom is that triple teams are trapped in a season of bowls, as opponents have time to prepare for the draft, but this has not played out. As of 2007, the actual triple teams (Army, Air Force, Navy, Georgia Southern and Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech) are 28-18 ATS.
Boca Raton Bowl
SMU -3.5 vs. Florida Atlantic, O / U 68.5
The Owls have the advantage of playing a home game on Saturday, but it’s hard to know how motivated Florida Atlantic will be for this game. Teams playing under a temporary coach have a mixed history in the bowl era, and FAU played in the weakest FBS conference this season.
We have to see a lot of points since SMU is involved. Sonny Dykes has made the Mustangs in his image and the SMU average has seen nearly 75 points in 2019. Lane Kiffin may have left Boca Raton, but there are many offensive minds and this game is the most likely shootout on the board.
Arkansas State -2.5 vs. Florida International, O / U 60.5
We have yet to see a blow to the Camellia Cup. The biggest win margin in the history of this bowl was five points and the five games played so far have a total MOV of 17 points. As a result, the college football soccer line for this game is under a goal match, and this is the biggest jump on the board for Saturday.
Las Vegas Bowl
Washington -3 vs. Boise State, O / U 49
Chris Petersen will call it a career at Sin City on Saturday with a final game. You will be confronted with the program that helped put it on the map at Boise State, and there will certainly be emotions that appear on the sidelines and on the stands.
The Huskies will be short-term though with tight end Hunter Bryant declaring early on for the NFL draft and star left tackle Trey Adams making his final team game. Adams kept Jacob Eason relatively untouched in the pocket, while Bryant was his favorite receiver in 2019, leading to questions about the Washington offense.
New Orleans Bowl
Appalachian State -17 vs. UAB, O / U 47.5
When the slot betting odds were released two weeks ago, Appalachian State was the biggest favorite on the table. UAB looked lost at the USA World Championships against Florida Atlantic and the Blazers dug in the second half of the season.
Although Eli Drinkwitz left Appalachian State after a season to get the job in Missouri, the Climbers are still very much in love with this game. They have a superb defense that has made App State one of the best of the five teams in the country and Zac Thomas is a very good double threat fighter. App State has consistently featured in bowl games, winning four straight bowl games coming to the New Orleans Bowl, and their last two wins have been from 66 combinations.