Buffalo and Pittsburgh will make the playoffs if the season ends today, but the Bills and Steelers are both in doubt. The Bills are 9-4 and a race ahead of the Steelers and Titans Tenantssee, but should play in New England next week and could fall behind the Steelers and Titans with a loss to Sunday Night Football this week. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is in its third general and will close its season against Baltimore. The Steelers hope the Ravens have nothing to play in the season finale, as they may need that win to reach the postseason.
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These are two of the best defenses in the NFL, so overall game forecasts are relatively low. Neither quarterback is expected to reach anywhere near 250 passing yards, and a 100-yard rusher or receiver would be amazing. Let’s take a look at current betting odds below:
Devlin Hodges above / below 196.5 passing yards
Doctor Hodges took over Mason Rudolph in the second half against Cincinnati three weeks ago, and has kept the original job since that time. It doesn’t kill the Steelers with costly interceptions like Rudolph was on the field during his time, but he doesn’t even light up the scoreboard.
Pittsburgh asks Samford to start the game without overtaking the hotelier, and he has done so effectively. Hodges is capable of throwing it throughout the race after breaking last year’s Steve McNair record, but Mike Tomlin just wants to be somehow effective and not hurt the team with turnovers.
Hodges has not yet hit the ball more than 21 times in a game, but it is very likely that he will surpass that mark against the accounts. The Steelers have been knocked out with JuJu Smith-Schuster and Vance McDonald out, while James Conner and Jaylen Samuels are both in contention. It has two fast receivers that can hit the top over James Washington and Diontae Johnson, so over looks like the best game.
Josh Allen above / below 215.5 passing yards
Allen averages 244.3 YPG through the air, but this Pittsburgh sophomore is one of the best in the NFL with Minkah Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick turned the Steelers’ defense, and Pittsburgh allows opposing coaches to fly for just 181 YPG from Week 4.
The Wyoming secondary fighter had precision problems and fought against solid defenses. Allen has not yet rushed for more than 270 yards in a game this season, and has been held under 185 passing yards five times.
His best games were against awesome teams with porous defense, so down is the smart game here.
Devin Singletary above / below 71.5 Yards rushing
The Florida Atlantic recruit has taken over the lead role from Frank Gore. Singletary is averaging 5.6 YPC, and has been very effective in recent weeks. He has run for 4.8 YPCs or more in six of his last seven games since winning the starting job from Gore, and went easily against Baltimore last week overall.
Singletary will have many opportunities to surpass that number on Sunday. Sean McDermott will probably opt to play a ball possession game with Pittsburgh since the Steelers are short on offense and start a runner runner so the rookie should see an increased workload. He has proven that he can stay on the court to go down, too, and this will lead to a couple moving the third down.
Josh Allen over / under 37.5 rush yards
Pittsburgh did a great job of containing Kyler Murray last week. Murray and Allen have almost neck and neck ups and downs this season, and it is likely that the Steelers are using some of the same tactics used to hold Murray in the pocket against Allen this week.
Allen doesn’t have the precision to beat you steadily with his hand, but he can beat you with his feet. It has an average of 4.6 YPC for the season, so expect Pittsburgh to try to limit its routes.