The ultimate Jameis Winston prop bet: Will the Buccaneers QB lead the NFL to past TDs and interceptions?

The most exciting player in the NFL is Lamar Jackson, but the second most exciting player in the league may be Jameis Winston. Winston has a wild year. In a branding or stoppage time for his career, the No. 1 pick in the 2015 NFL Draft leads the league in passing yards and interceptions. His 4,573 meters are 239 meters more than Dak Prescott and his 24 interceptions are six more than Philip Rivers. He also has the opportunity to catch Lamar Jackson and lead the league in touchdown passes, giving us some interesting scenes.

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Who will lead the NFL to pass yards in 2019?

  • Jameis Winston -1000
  • Dak Prescott +500

Since the quarterback with the third-most passing yards in the NFL (Philip Rivers) is over 500 yards behind Winston, Prescott and Winston are the only two players with real shot at being the NFL pass leader, limiting injury.

Winston has put some distance between himself and Prescott in the last two weeks, making history’s first general to throw more than 450 yards in consecutive games. The average was over 10 YPC against Indianapolis and Detroit and his performance last week was even more impressive as Mike Evans was out and Chris Godwin was injured during the game. Winston beat outfielder Breshad Perriman five times for 113 yards and three touchdowns, and sixth-round pick Scotty Miller had a career day.

Although Winston is a massive favorite to lead the passing league and is set to surpass the 5,000 yards, he may be very upset at the body he receives for Week 16. Miller was placed on injured reserve Tuesday and both Evans and Godwin are suspected of playing because of injuries. If neither Evans nor Godwin play, last year’s Tampa Bay game will suffer, as teams can lose so much depth.

Two mediocre games could be enough to win Winston the title over Prescott. Dallas plays Philadelphia in the City of Brotherly Love this weekend and a Cowboys win will lock up the NFC East. Prescott would be extremely unlikely to play against Washington in the season finale, as Dallas will be blocked in the No. 4 championship with a win.

While Dallas and Tampa Bay play moderate or worse in their last two games, the Cowboys’ opponents are slightly better in the pass defense as measured by yards per effort. Philadelphia (7.0 YPA) and Washington (6.8 YPA) are both better behind Houston (7.2 YPA) and Atlanta (7.4 YPA).

Given these factors, Winston should be a big favorite to win the passing title, but -1000 is a bit too much considering Tampa Bay’s injuries to the recipient. Dallas is an underdog this week in Philadelphia, so Prescott will kill him in Week 17 if the Cowboys fall to the Eagles.

Will Jameis Winston lead the NFL in TDs and INTs?

It’s hard to imagine another general catching Winston for his dubious honor of being the most violated general. Only two players are somewhat close to Winston’s 24 options: Rivers has 18 and Baker Mayfield has 17.

This in many ways makes it a single event. Lamar Jackson leads the league with 33 touchdown passes after throwing five touchdowns against the Jets in Week 15, but Winston is only three touchdowns behind him. Russell Wilson is low on pace with 28 touchdowns, while three other quarterbacks have 26.

Jackson will probably only play one more game, as Baltimore will block their home advantage with a win over Cleveland this week. The Ravens are a double favorite, according to NFL odds, on the road against the Browns and do not want to risk MVP health at this year’s tournament against a potentially desperate Pittsburgh.

Winston will surely play in the last two games of Tampa Bay to prevent injury. He lost the games in 2017 and 2018, but was resilient this season despite being fired 43 times. Bruce Arians will give him the chance to beat Jackson if possible, so “yes” is a big bet here.

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