Sorry, Adrian Peterson. Week 15 has the opportunity to start your last ride with Derrius Guice, but our fifteen week list doesn’t believe it. The Eagles just aren’t a good fight for the future Hall of Famer, and while he’ll have to get the job done, the numbers probably won’t follow. The same could apply to Aaron Rodgers and, while not a future HOFer, Raheem Mostert’s popular pickup could also be on the unhappy side of the fantastic start, making a bubble.
We’re also worried about the usual fantasy starters, like Devonta Freeman (@ 49ers) and Josh Allen (@ Steelers). Injuries coupled with bad showdowns could ruin the week for their first fantasy season, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Evan Engram.
WEEK 15 RATING NON REPORTS:
Quarterback | Running back Wide receiver Tight end D / ST | Kicker
You made it very easy for us to win a particular drop call last week: Darwin Thompson was always unlikely to have a good game against a strong Pats defense, but the fantasy owners gave him the chance. It wasn’t all right for Mostert, who just proved to be the man at the back of San Francisco, but, as we already said, we’ll get back to that. Chris Carson’s bust also calls for a counterattack, with Rashaad Penny’s knee injury actually releasing him to shine.
15 Weeks PPR: Running Back Wide Receiver Tight end
Don’t even get started on the Drew Brees bust option – if you did, we’re sorry. These six touchdowns were undoubtedly hard on the stomach on your bench. At least we got the bust of Marquise Brown and Brandin Cooks and the injury of Mark Andrews helped us get that right too.
MORE WEEK 15: Sleepers | Start them, sit them down
Week 15 Imaginary Busts: Running Back
Devon Freeman, Falcons @ 49ers (Billy Hayen). It’s not difficult to understand that starting a player against the 49ers is dangerous, even after simply giving the Saints over 40 points. The most relevant information is that Alvin Kamara didn’t have a big game, and neither did Freeman.
Adrian Peterson, Redskins @ Eagles (Vinnie Iyer). The Eagles are very difficult to run, especially with a power runner, and Peterson will have to close with more than Chris Thompson in the mix.
Raheem Mostert, 49ers vs. Falcons (Matt Lutovsky). Everything points in the direction of Mostert. He has scored in three consecutive games, dominating the RB snaps in each of the last two. The Falcons are also not very good on defense and this feels like a game the 49ers should easily win, which will probably create more seconds for Mostert. But we just have a bad feeling. Despite his advantage, he had just five touches more than Matt Breida last week and it is worth noting that one of the TDs came in a tricky trick where he fell out of Emmanuel Sanders. The Falcons are really decent against the RBs (tied for 20th in fantasy points allowed), and the flow of play can actually lead to Mostert sitting more in the second half, if not necessary. Now, do you really think he will score four games in a row? By no means is Mostert a “must sit”, but there are more worries here than you might initially realize.
Resignation receipts FAAB Designer Stock Clock | Number of measurements Fantasy Playoff Tips
Week 15 Fantasy Football Busts: Quadruple
Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers vs. Falcons (Heyen). That’s not so much that I expect Garoppolo to have a bad game. Instead, I’m worried that people are too all-in for the idea that Garoppolo will throw enough to make this big matchup issue. Sure, he could find his way to three touchdowns, but I’m not expecting a game like last week.
Josh Allen, Steelers vs. Bills (Iyer). You have to keep him parked against a tougher defense than he faced last week.
Aaron Rodgers, Packers vs. Bear (Lutovsky). Rodgers had fewer than two TDs in four of his last five games and failed to reach 243 yards in any of the games in that game. It has a history of bear lighting, but this was not transferred to Week 1 this year (203 meters, one TD). The Bears have remained steady against the QBs most of the year (13.9 fantasy points per game over four points passing the touchdown championships), so it’s hard to get excited with Rodgers here.
Week 15 Fantasy Football Busts: Wide Receivers
Allen Robinson, Bears @ Packers (Heyen). Robinson would probably have to take Jaire Alexander’s treatment, which has often led to quiet WR games. This could be a game where the goals will be back in Anthony Miller’s favor.
Stefon Diggs, Vikings @ Chargers (Iyer). You may need to use him on a season-long basis, but he’s going to get his old NFC North boyfriend Casey Hayward and the Bolts defense can put him down.
JuJu Smith-Schuster, Steelers vs. Accounts (Lutovsky). It’s hard to sit down like Smith-Schuster if he is active, but with just one team allowing fewer WR points in the accounts this year, it’s foolish to play him. If it’s out, that’s true of James Washington and Diontae Johnson.
WEEK 15 DFS LINEUPS:
FD Cash | FD GPP | DK cash Y! Cash Y! GPP
Week 15 Fantasy Football Busts: Tight edges
Evan Engram, Giants vs. Dolphins (Heyen). Obviously, Engram has to play for him to be a legitimate starting bust – I’m worried that the injury to his leg that has been mourning him for weeks will not stop him from moaning, even if he is on the court. Miami has played better lately, neither Eli Manning nor Daniel Jones have much confidence, and a lower body injury to a big-body player may not play well. (If Engram is out, I’d go with David Njoku as a potential use-bust.)
Jacob Hollister, Seahawks @ Panthers (Iyer). With Luke Kuechly and their safety, the Panthers were usually good on that cover.
Kyle Rudolph, Vikings @ Chargers (Lutovsky). Rudolph’s TD series ended last week, having received only two goals and posted 11 yards. It’s tempting to use him while Adam Thielen (hamstring) is out, but against the Chargers, who allow only 6.5 non-PPR fantasy points per game on TE, it offers more risk than reward.
Week 15 Imaginary Busts: Protections
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Accounts (Heyen). I can’t get to a big defense this week, so I’ll play into telling that Josh Allen was better at defending the ball and had enough weapons to score points in Pittsburgh on Sunday night.
Minnesota Vikings @ Chargers (Iyer). This is a trap for a long journey on the road to a serious disruption.
Chicago Bears @ Packers (Lutovsky). While the Bears like to limit Aaron Rodgers, we don’t think it will completely shut down the Packers offense or force many turnovers. It’s been moderate most of the time, and the Packers don’t make a lot of mistakes, so it’s a low-upside game.