Sports WGC-Mexico picks, sleepers, betting advice

WGC-Mexico picks, sleepers, betting advice


Mexico City and Club de Golf Chapultepec is the host for the first WGC event of 2020 for the WGC-Mexico Championship. The significant story that you will unquestionably hear numerous times throughout the broadcast today is the elevation of Chapultepec at over 7,300 feet above water level. The light air implies that balls will be circumnavigating 15-percent even more than they typically would at sea level, so, while Chapultepec is relatively long on the card at 7,350 yards, it will play more like a 6,600- backyard course that you and your pals would play from the blue tees this weekend. When filling out your betting card, that’s crucial to keep in mind. The majority of the world’s leading players will make the journey south of the border, with Rory McIlroy ( 6/1), Dustin Johnson (10/ 1), Justin Thomas (10/ 1), and Jon Rahm (10/ 1) headlining a 72- male field that will not have a 36- hole cut.

Chapultepec’s fairways are amongst the most narrow on trip at just 27 yards usually, and the fairways are lined with trees. This is still a bomber track. Due to the elevation, the long players will decide to smash drivers around the doglegs, and if they do end and miss out on the fairway up in the trees, they will be far enough down there to be entrusted to a chip out that still leaves a good chance at par. Chapultepec’s 3 Par fives are all quickly obtainable in 2 shots for even the much shorter players, and players will need to make the most of the scoring chance that they provide. We are remaining on poa annua turf for the greens, and we ought to anticipate players to have a hard time a bit like we saw recently at Riviera, as Chapultepec has actually ranked within the top half on Trip in regards to three-putt portion.

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This is the kind of event where the heavy players tend towin Johnson (two times) and Phil Mickelson are the 2 champions of this event given that it transferred to Mexico, however recalling to when this event was at Doral, we see more of the exact same with Johnson, Adam Scott, Patrick Reed, Tiger Woods, and Justin Rose taking home the WGC-Championship title given that2012 While it might be enjoyable to root for some of these amazing European Trip men that we do not see every week, history informs us that top-end skill increases to the top of this elite-field event.

If you have more concerns or are trying to find more betting and DFS advice (NFL, MLB, NBA, PGA), examine me out on Twitter (@DFSBenj).

Secret Statistics

Strokes Got: Off-the-tee
Strokes Got: Around the Green
Method < < 150 yards
Par 5 Scoring

WGC-Mexico Betting Advice, Chances

Straight-out Bets to Think About

* chances through DraftKings Sportsbook

Justin Thomas 10/ 1

You’re actually splitting hairs in between any of the favorites of this event in between Rory McIlroy (6/1), Dustin Johnson (10/ 1), Thomas (10/ 1), and Jon Rahm (10/ 1), however I wish to take among them in a field this strong offered the history of this competition. For me, while I like how McIlroy establishes with how aggressive he plays off the tee and DJ’s course history, I’m going to choose Thomas. Thomas played well here in all 3 of his looks with a T5, second (lost in a playoff), and ninth last season. Missing out on the cut recently at Riviera was a surprise, however I completely anticipate a bounce-back week from JT at a course where he has rounds of 62 in each of the past 2 seasons.

Paul Casey 35/ 1

Betting on Casey is constantly a hard cost me, however I like the manner in which he is striking the ball today after ranking 5th in the field in “strokes gained: approach” recently at Riviera. Casey has actually played outstandingly at Chapultepec in his 3 looks here with surfaces of T16, T12, and a T3 last season. The putting is constantly an obstruction that holds Casey back from winning more frequently, however a course that brings below- typical putters back to the field with its high three-putt portion ought to benefit a gamer of Casey’s profile. Chances of 35/ 1 produce a great worth for a gamer that has actually revealed good consistency this season and is primed for a top finish at an event at which he is plainly comfy.

Sergio Garcia 50/ 1

Garcia hasn’t revealed much of anything given that he won the 2018 Masters, however indications of life are beginning to emerge this season after 2 leading-10 surfaces and 4 straight top-40 surfaces in his past 4 starts worldwide. Garcia is still among the very best ball- strikers on the planet, and like Casey, I like that Chapultepec’s challenging greens will negate a few of his putting concerns. The course history is likewise there for Garcia, as he’s completed T12, T7, and T6 here in the past 3 years. It has to do with time for Garcia to return into the winners’ circle after his long Masters hangover, and 50/ 1 screams worth in a 72- male field. I’ll likewise be including a couple of sprays of Garcia to finish top 10 at +400

Kevin Kisner 90/ 1

I didn’t have much interest in betting anybody below 50/ 1 when I first took a look at the betting board, however with a 10/ 1 Thomas outright, including a man with longer chances is a great finish to the straight-outcard Kisner was a big winner for us at 66/ 1 at the WGC-Matchplay last season, and tee-to-green Chapultepec is a great suitable for hisgame All 3 of Kisner’s profession wins have actually come at brief, tight courses, however he’ll need to enhance on his “negative strokes gained: off the tee” stats to offer himself an opportunity today. Kisner has actually confessed that he dislikes placing on poa, however he’s the very best longshot worth of the week for me at 90/ 1, and there are even worse plays than likewise betting him at +200 for a top-20 finish after he completed within the top 30 in both of his 2 provings at this event.

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