What will happen after Macron’s victory? The worrying scenario

French voters handed Emmanuel Macron a second term as president on Sunday in an election in which he easily defeated far-right leader Marine Le Pen.

Ahead of the legislative elections in June, the boss of the Elysée is expected to take some measures that will determine whether Macron will have a parliamentary majority that will allow him to push through his policies.

first steps

The French Constitutional Court will officially announce the results of the presidential elections on 27 and 28 April.

During this period, the government of Prime Minister Jean Castilles could submit his resignation. If Macron agrees, he could choose a new prime minister to form a transitional government until the June elections.

The swearing-in ceremony is expected to take place before Macron’s current term ends on May 14.

Parliamentary elections

From May 16-20, candidates from all parties are expected to register to compete for 577 seats in parliamentary elections.

The first round is scheduled for 12 June. In constituencies in to which no candidate wins by an absolute majority, the ballot will take place a week later.

Candidates may incur in a ballot if they get at least 12.5 per cent of the votes in the first round.

While Macron could theoretically dissolve in anticipating the current parliament and bringing the election date two weeks earlier, he could then harness the momentum of his presidential victory in hopes of getting more seats in parliament.

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next government

After parliamentary elections, French presidents usually choose a new prime minister from the party that receives the most votes to form a new government.

The president’s party won a majority in the last legislative elections.

period of coexistence

If the outcome is different this time around, Macron will have no choice but to appoint a prime minister of another party, potentially leading to what has usually been a period of tense coexistence during which presidential powers are severely limited.

During this period of coexistence, the president remains the commander in head of the military and retains some influence in foreign policy, but the government handles most of the state’s day-to-day affairs.

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